Identification of future fields of standardisation: An explorative application of the Delphi methodology

Publication year: 2011
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, In Press, Corrected Proof, Available online 14 June 2011

Kerstin, Goluchowicz , Knut, Blind

This paper investigates the application of the Delphi methodology for the identification of future fields of standardisation complemented by a methodological extension by using various science and technology indicators. By the term standardisation, we broadly mean the process of developing and implementing technical standards within a standardisation body. Underlining the explorative nature of this paper, we describe the process of identifying future fields of standardisation.To provide a systematic forecasting view on complex science and technology fields, a combination of quantitative indicator-based analyses and qualitative in-depth Delphi surveys is choosen. Firstly, statistical analyses of suitable indicators are used to identify dynamic…